@shanaka86
@shanaka86
Independent crypto and finance commentator
Who Is This Person?
Shanaka Anslem Perera, known on Twitter as @shanaka86, is an active commentator focusing on cryptocurrency, finance, politics, and scientific skepticism. His posts often critique mainstream narratives, analyze market events like Bitcoin corrections and altcoin liquidations, and discuss broader themes such as digital censorship and institutional power. As of October 2025, he remains highly active, with recent tweets addressing topics like Wall Street manipulations in crypto, U.S. political figures, and the evolution of Bitcoin adoption. Account creation date is not publicly detailed in available sources, but activity spans at least from early 2025 based on post history. No verification badge is evident, and follower count is estimated in the mid-thousands given engagement patterns, though exact figures require direct API access.
How Credible Are They?
@shanaka86 demonstrates solid credibility as a niche influencer in cryptocurrency and finance, with tweet patterns prioritizing analytical depth and calls for verifiable data, fostering trust among followers. The absence of professional affiliations or formal credentials tempers expert status, positioning him more as an independent voice than an authoritative source. No evidence of misinformation or disputes emerges, and cross-platform consistency is limited but uncontradictory where present; overall, reliable for opinionated insights but best supplemented with primary sources for factual claims.
Assessment by Grok AI
What's Their Track Record?
No documented fact-checks, corrections, or controversies found in searches; posts emphasize evidence-based claims, such as demanding peer-reviewed data or API verifications for market stats, with a history of accurate critiques on crypto events like ETF flows and liquidation misreads. Historical accuracy appears solid in financial commentary, though opinions on politics and institutions are interpretive rather than strictly factual.
What Have We Analyzed?
Recent posts and claims we've fact-checked from this author
Post by @shanaka86
@shanaka86 · 22h ago
BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE JUST DIED AND NOBODY NOTICED Crypto Twitter exploded calling October 6th the cycle peak. Eighty-four percent crashes incoming. Bear market confirmed. Pack it up. Except the math says they are catastrophically wrong. Every indicator that called previous tops with surgical precision sits completely dormant. Pi Cycle untriggered at $114,000 while its threshold waits at $205,600. Three cycles, perfect accuracy within four days. Today? Silent. MVRV Z-Score 2.06, miles beneath the 5.0 euphoria zone that marked every prior peak. Supply in profit 83.6%. Puell Multiple 0.95, textbook undervaluation. These aren’t broken indicators, they’re screaming mid-cycle consolidation while influencers call tops. Here’s what shattered the pattern. Institutions absorbed $64 billion through ETFs this year. BlackRock, Fidelity, corporate treasuries vacuumed every whale dump without flinching. When retail ran cycles, emotion governed price. Now settlement governs price. Bitcoin’s correlation to M2 money supply collapsed from 0.8 historically to negative 0.18 in 2025. It decoupled from monetary policy while correlation to gold spiked to 0.85, transforming into a hedge asset overnight. The four-year halving rhythm lost relevance the moment institutional flows hit $64 billion. Correlation 0.82 between institutional inflows and price stability proves mathematical causation. When Wall Street controls absorption, eighty percent crashes require macro catastrophe, not chart patterns. A 2017-style collapse now demands BlackRock and every institutional holder simultaneously dumping treasury collateral. That’s geopolitical Armageddon, not technical analysis. November 7th reversed six days of $660 million outflows with $240 million flooding back in twenty-four hours. Institutional hold rates remain 99.5% through volatility that liquidated retail in previous cycles. The old playbook assumed cycles end when sentiment peaks. This cycle ends when absorption reverses. That requires sustained ETF outflows exceeding $2 billion weekly coupled with recession. Current trajectory shows neither. Fidelity models sixty-five percent probability for fifty to one hundred percent gains by Q4 2026. Not hopium, quantitative analysis based on supply dynamics that never existed before. Three scenarios crystallize: Evolved bull at sixty-five percent probability: indicators stretch, inflows sustain above $5 billion weekly, price targets $150,000 to $200,000 by late 2026. Bear reversion at twenty-five percent probability: macro shock triggers $2 billion weekly outflows, correlation to M2 money supply rebounds above 0.6, sub-$80,000 collapse. Consolidation at ten percent probability: flows neutralize, range-bound $100,000 to $130,000 if dollar index exceeds 110. What would prove this wrong? Sustained outflows above $2 billion weekly for four consecutive weeks or traditional indicators crossing despite continued inflows above $5 billion weekly. The four-year cycle didn’t top. It evolved into something unrecognizable. Retail emotion lost control to institutional settlement. Time-based models broke when absorption dynamics took over. Position accordingly or spectate permanently.
Post by @shanaka86
@shanaka86 · Oct 27
BREAKING: The Fed's $2.5 Trillion Time Bomb Just Detonated The unthinkable has happened. The Federal Reserve's ON RRP facility - the bedrock of modern finance - has collapsed from $2.55 TRILLION to $2.4 BILLION. Functional zero. Verified by FRED data October 24, 2025. This isn't a drill. This is the financial equivalent of a nuclear detonation. Here's what happens next: The $2.5 trillion that was trapped in Fed parking now floods into markets. Banking reserves stand at $2.93 trillion - just $130 billion from the critical $2.8T line that triggered the 2019 repo crisis. SOFR stress is already visible at 4.24%. The Bitcoin Connection Will Shock You Peer-reviewed research confirms: RRP and Bitcoin move in perfect inverse lockstep (r = -0.70). Every major RRP drain since 2022 preceded 20-50% Bitcoin explosions. This isn't correlation - it's causation. Bitcoin at $111,700 is about to become the primary beneficiary of the largest liquidity rotation in history. The $24 Trillion Debt Trap The coming $24-28 trillion government debt rollover (2025-2027) will vacuum liquidity from the real economy while supercharging asset markets. We're entering Fiscal Hegemony - where monetary policy becomes irrelevant. Immediate Consequences · Bitcoin positioned for 35-55% surge · Traditional finance indicators rendered obsolete · 60-year central bank dominance ended tonight · New financial era begins now This is the phase transition every economist feared. The distributed ledger of Bitcoin is now pricing global dollar liquidity in real-time. We are witnessing the complete restructuring of global finance. The data is verified. The correlation is proven. The implications are civilization-scale. The zero point is here. The inversion is live. The world just changed.