Post by @cryptofergani
17% credible (20% factual, 12% presentation). The post promotes a Solana giveaway but lacks substantiation and follows patterns of scams in the Solana ecosystem, with no evidence of past payouts. Omission framing and the false promise fallacy are detected, as the post omits proof of previous giveaways and promises rewards without evidence of fulfillment.
Analysis Summary
The post promotes a giveaway of 0.1 SOL to 10 winners, requiring participants to like, retweet, follow with notifications, share Solana wallet addresses, and join an X community, framed as a way to help people 'eat' and escape hardship. This follows a pattern of repetitive, unverified crypto giveaways commonly associated with scams or platform rule violations in the Solana ecosystem. Opposing views highlight the risk of phishing via shared wallet info, with no evidence of past payouts provided.
Original Content
The Facts
The claim of a genuine giveaway lacks substantiation and aligns with widespread Solana scam patterns, where such posts collect wallet addresses without delivering rewards. Verdict: Likely false or scam, with low accuracy (posterior probability ~20% based on low author truthfulness prior of 25% updated by scam base rates and bias evidence).
Benefit of the Doubt
The author advances a self-promotional agenda by posing as a generous community helper to farm engagement and potentially harvest wallet addresses for phishing. It emphasizes benevolence and urgency to encourage participation while omitting any proof of previous giveaways, transparent winner selection, or funding sources, which are critical for legitimacy in crypto promotions. This selective framing shapes reader perception as trustworthy aid, downplaying scam risks and exploiting economic desperation in the crypto community.
Predictions Made
Claims about future events that can be verified later
and hopefully I can take you out of the trenches
Prior: 10% for such predictions in unverified crypto promotions succeeding (low base rate). Evidence: Author expertise in engagement but low truthfulness; pattern of unfulfilled promises in X posts; web scams emphasize false hope. Posterior: 5%.
How Is This Framed?
Biases, omissions, and misleading presentation techniques detected
Omits any proof of previous giveaways, winner selection process, or funding, presenting the promise as credible despite historical unsubstantiated patterns.
Problematic phrases:
"I promised another giveaway""I am giving away .1 SOL"What's actually there:
No verified past payouts per track record
What's implied:
Ongoing legitimate giveaways
Impact: Leads readers to assume reliability and participation is safe, ignoring scam risks and platform violations.
Frames the giveaway as immediate aid for economic hardship, creating false pressure to engage without time limits specified.
Problematic phrases:
"so more people can eat""take you out of the trenches"What's actually there:
No deadline or urgency mechanics
What's implied:
Time-sensitive help needed now
Impact: Exploits desperation in crypto community, rushing decisions and overlooking red flags like address sharing risks.
Implies the giveaway directly alleviates hardship without evidence that 0.1 SOL meaningfully helps or will be delivered.
Problematic phrases:
"Doing this much so more people can eat"What's actually there:
0.1 SOL ≈ $15-20 USD, insufficient for 'eating'
What's implied:
Significant financial relief
Impact: Misleads on cause-effect, portraying small action as substantial aid to justify engagement farming.
Presents 'another' giveaway as part of a genuine ongoing series, despite evidence of repetitive unsubstantiated promises.
Problematic phrases:
"I promised another giveaway"What's actually there:
Pattern of unfulfilled promotions per analysis history
What's implied:
Established trend of successful giveaways
Impact: Creates illusion of reliability through implied pattern, encouraging participation in potential scam.
Sources & References
External sources consulted for this analysis
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-giveaway-scams/
https://www.theverge.com/2024/1/3/24024262/youtube-twitter-x-crypto-solana-deepfake-scam
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-giveaway-scam/
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-x-biggest-crypto-giveaway-scam/
https://www.pcrisk.com/removal-guides/31115-solana-giveaway-scam
https://dfpi.ca.gov/consumers/crypto/crypto-scam-tracker/
https://medium.com/@serpz00/scam-alert-fake-solana-youtube-ad-exploits-crypto-enthusiasts-9624d7a91fba
https://pcrisk.com/removal-guides/34236-solana-airdrop-email-scam
https://medium.com/@serpz00/scam-alert-fake-solana-youtube-ad-exploits-crypto-enthusiasts-9624d7a91fba
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-x-biggest-crypto-giveaway-scam/
https://medium.com/@AMLCrypto/half-of-the-presales-on-solana-turned-out-to-be-scams-84ec019c0b6b
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-giveaway-scam/
https://www.pcrisk.com/removal-guides/21763-solana-sol-giveaway-scam
https://blockworks.co/news/solana-airdrop-incites-scammer-activity
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1917182258672238840
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1912990147273990166
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1936014023863963681
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1936763478787915846
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1968432142246953159
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1930566660777181265
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-x-biggest-crypto-giveaway-scam/
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-giveaway-scams/
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-giveaway-scam/
https://www.pcrisk.com/removal-guides/31115-solana-giveaway-scam
https://www.reddit.com/r/solana/comments/1cbpl9s/scams_coins_on_solana/
https://www.actionfraud.org.uk/crypto-scams/solana-scams/
https://medium.com/@serpz00/scam-alert-fake-solana-youtube-ad-exploits-crypto-enthusiasts-9624d7a91fba
https://pcrisk.com/removal-guides/34236-solana-airdrop-email-scam
https://www.pcrisk.com/removal-guides/34209-bonus-for-solana-users-scam
https://enigmasoftware.com/solanarewardsscam-removal
https://cointelegraph.com/news/solana-trading-bot-github-malware-scam
https://financefeeds.com/scam-alert-users-lose-crypto-to-malicious-solana-bot/
https://medium.com/@serpz00/scam-alert-fake-solana-youtube-ad-exploits-crypto-enthusiasts-9624d7a91fba
https://malwaretips.com/blogs/solana-x-biggest-crypto-giveaway-scam/
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1981636207529382117
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1921230336391815501
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1968432142246953159
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1978815016720539814
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1940470873837965589
https://x.com/cryptofergani/status/1954250348480381081
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