Post by @OptionsBuffett
15% credible (10% factual, 20% presentation). The content speculates on a non-existent Tesla graphics card release driving TSLA stock to extreme highs, lacking any factual basis or evidence. The presentation suffers from hyperbolic scaling and the author's poor track record further undermines credibility.
Analysis Summary
The content speculates on a hypothetical Tesla graphics card release driving TSLA stock to extreme highs, but no such announcement exists. Author @OptionsBuffett promotes unverified stock predictions with hype, lacking factual basis. Overall credibility is low due to unsubstantiated claims and author's poor track record.
Original Content
The Facts
Predictions are speculative and unsupported; no evidence of Tesla graphics card release. Verdict: Largely false premise with hyperbolic opinion.
Benefit of the Doubt
Author aims to hype TSLA stock for engagement or promotion, implying insider-like insight without evidence. Key insights: Relies on Elon Musk's reputation for surprises; pushes aggressive price target to excite followers.
Predictions Made
Claims about future events that can be verified later
If $TSLA releases a graphics card tomorrow I think the stock would quite literally be on MARS.
Prior: 5% base rate for company entering unrelated hardware. Evidence: Searches confirm no announcement; author's low credibility. Posterior: 2%.
$1,000 by Dec 31st
Prior: 10% for aggressive targets from analysts. Evidence: No supporting news; author unreliability. Posterior: 5%.
How Is This Framed?
Biases, omissions, and misleading presentation techniques detected
Creates false immediacy around a hypothetical 'tomorrow' release to amplify excitement
Problematic phrases:
"releases a graphics card tomorrow"What's actually there:
No announcement scheduled
What's implied:
Imminent release expected
Impact: Leads readers to perceive urgent investment opportunity, potentially prompting rash decisions
Hyperbolically scales stock reaction to absurd levels without basis
Problematic phrases:
"quite literally be on MARS""$1,000 by Dec 31st"What's actually there:
TSLA current price ~$250 (hypothetical 2025), no graphics card plans
What's implied:
Explosive 4x growth in months
Impact: Misleads on potential gains, inflating perceived scale of opportunity
Sources & References
External sources consulted for this analysis
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nvidia_Tesla
https://www.nvidia.com/en-gb/data-center/tesla-v100/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_(microarchitecture)
https://www.carthrottle.com/post/x7pvl9o
https://www.techradar.com/news/nvidias-next-tesla-gpus-could-be-75-faster-good-news-for-future-geforce-cards
https://docs.nvidia.com/vgpu/news/vgpu-software-lifecycle-on-supported-gpus/index.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/04/elon-musk-told-nvidia-to-ship-ai-chips-reserved-for-tesla-to-x-xai.html
https://tesery.com/blogs/news/tesla-all-but-confirms-affordable-model-y-announcement
https://mezha.media/en/news/tesla-teases-event-305351
https://teslasoftwareupdates.co/2025-32-8-release-notes
https://notateslaapp.com/news/3054/tesla-update-202532-released-to-employees-what-could-be-included
https://teslaoracle.com/2025/04/15/tesla-tsla-begins-the-rollout-of-the-2025-spring-release-ota-software-update-2025-14
https://www.kitguru.net/components/graphic-cards/joao-silva/nvidia-releases-the-new-tesla-v100s-datacenter-graphics-card/
https://www.techradar.com/news/nvidia-volta
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1798055141670781107
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1856846072695435667
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1078180361346068480
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/992556974263947264
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1919063391462891994
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1511682606319947777
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