84%
Credible

Post by @KobeissiLetter

@kobeissiletter
@kobeissiletter
@kobeissiletter

84% credible (95% factual, 65% presentation). The claim about AMD options activity preceding the AMD-OpenAI deal announcement is factually accurate, supported by verified news and X activity from October 2nd to October 6th. However, the presentation includes sensational framing that adds hype, detracting from overall credibility.

95%
Factual claims accuracy
65%
Presentation quality

Analysis Summary

Unusual AMD options trading on October 2nd preceded the October 6th AMD-OpenAI deal announcement by four days. The post highlights prescient X user insights and credits the platform for investor advantages. Facts align with recent news, though presentation adds hype.

Original Content

Factual
Emotive
Opinion
Prediction
On October 2nd, users on X began noting unusual options activity in AMD, $AMD. Over $6 million worth of long-dated calls were purchased and flows into AMD stock were strong. One user explicitly said they "bet AMD just signed a multi-billion dollar deal to support GPUs to OpenAI." 4 days later, AMD announces a deal with OpenAI that will generate "tens of billions in new revenues." Being on X is literally alpha for investors.

The Facts

Claims are factually accurate based on verified news and X activity. Minor sensationalism in phrasing does not alter core truth.

Benefit of the Doubt

Author aims to showcase X's value in spotting market signals early. Key insights: Predictive power of social media trading chatter and real-time alpha generation. Emphasizes excitement around the AMD-OpenAI partnership.

How Is This Framed?

Biases, omissions, and misleading presentation techniques detected

lowsequence: false pattern

Presents one instance of prescient X activity as indicative of a broader, reliable pattern for investors.

Problematic phrases:

"Being on X is literally alpha for investors."

What's actually there:

Isolated event

What's implied:

Consistent trend

Impact: Leads readers to overgeneralize X's predictive power from a single case, inflating perceived reliability.

lowurgency: artificial urgency

Sensational opener creates excitement around a non-urgent historical recap.

Problematic phrases:

"You can't make this up:"

What's actually there:

What's implied:

Impact: Amplifies perceived novelty and investor edge, encouraging impulsive engagement with X.

Sources & References

External sources consulted for this analysis

1

https://www.reuters.com/business/amd-signs-ai-chip-supply-deal-with-openai-gives-it-option-take-10-stake-2025-10-06/

2

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-06/openai-signs-amd-chips-deal-worth-tens-of-billions-of-dollars

3

https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/06/amd-to-supply-6gw-of-compute-capacity-to-openai-in-chip-deal-worth-tens-of-billions/

4

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/06/openai-amd-chip-deal-ai.html

5

https://openai.com/index/openai-amd-strategic-partnership/

6

https://www.amd.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-10-6-amd-and-openai-announce-strategic-partnership-to-d.html

7

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-signs-ai-chip-supply-105442489.html

8

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-06/openai-signs-amd-chips-deal-worth-tens-of-billions-of-dollars

9

https://www.reuters.com/business/amd-signs-ai-chip-supply-deal-with-openai-gives-it-option-take-10-stake-2025-10-06/

10

https://financialpost.com/investing/amd-shares-soar-openai-deal-billions

11

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/06/openai-amd-chip-deal-ai.html

12

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/amd-stock-surges-as-chipmaker-latest-to-get-openai-deal/ar-AA1NWYhs?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds

13

https://www.investopedia.com/openai-and-amd-announce-massive-ai-partnership-sending-amd-shares-soaring-11824659

14

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/us-stocks-may-see-initial-strength-amd-openai-deal

15

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970167378097938613

16

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971954672702570802

17

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970160218983027193

18

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965840694234480702

19

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1911767847652434089

20

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1663223989110554633

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Content Breakdown

4
Facts
1
Opinions
0
Emotive
0
Predictions