77%

Credible

Post by @lunatik_corp

77% credible (82% factual, 65% presentation). The self-reported claims about personal benefits from promoting Polymarket are supported by image evidence, but the presentation omits critical context on Polymarket's regulatory controversies, resulting in promotional and incomplete framing.

82%

Factual claims accuracy

•

65%

Presentation quality

View Original X Post

Analysis Summary

The author shares positive outcomes from two weeks of writing about Polymarket, including follower growth, referral earnings, and community perks. The post is a self-promotional endorsement highlighting rewards without mentioning potential downsides like market risks or regulatory issues. Image evidence supports the claims with screenshots of earnings and profile badges, though metrics are self-reported.

Original Content

Factual

Emotive

Opinion

Prediction

I have been writing about Polymarket for 2 weeks, my results: – +650 followers – almost $500 earned from referral link (with a small X account) – about 200k impressions per week – ambassador of one of the biggest web2-web3 projects – one of the strongest communities – free X Premium+ – connections with the team – Polymarket badge – paid content creation – learning more about the project and its mechanics and learning how to earn on PMs, we're still early – everyone loves you Any reasons NOT to write about Polymarket?

The Facts

The claims are self-reported and align with the provided images, suggesting personal experiences are genuine, but lack independent verification and omit broader context on Polymarket's controversies like regulatory bans in multiple countries. Mostly Accurate but Promotional and Incomplete.

Benefit of the Doubt

The author advances a pro-Polymarket agenda by emphasizing personal gains and community strength to encourage others to engage, framing it as an easy, rewarding opportunity in the web3 space. Key omissions include Polymarket's legal challenges, such as blocks in Switzerland, France, Poland, and Singapore, and criticisms of wash trading during elections, which could shape perceptions toward undue optimism. This selective presentation portrays promotion as risk-free, potentially influencing readers to overlook volatility in crypto prediction markets.

Visual Content Analysis

Images included in the original content

VISUAL DESCRIPTION

A composite image divided into three panels: left shows a Polymarket earnings dashboard screenshot with $481.19 total over 30 days and a line graph of earnings from October 4 to November 3; middle displays a Twitter profile screenshot of @lunatik_corp featuring a Polymarket badge and bio 'Prediction markets in my heart'; right depicts a man in a dark suit with red tie spreading his arms wide in a dramatic pose, overlaid with dark-themed bar charts showing metrics like impressions and followers.

TEXT IN IMAGE

Earnings $481.19 View more Last 30 days; lunatik @lunatik_corp Prediction markets in my heart Joined April 2023 @polymarket; Account Overview Impressions Followers 712 30.1k 7.3% 22k 1.5k; Oct 4 Nov 3 (line graph data points); Various bar charts with values like 712, 30.1k, 7.3%, 22k, 1.5k

MANIPULATION

Not Detected

No signs of editing, inconsistencies, or artifacts; appears to be straightforward screenshots composited with a stock meme image for emphasis.

TEMPORAL ACCURACY

current

Dates in the earnings graph (Oct 4 to Nov 3) align with the current date of 2025-11-03, and the profile join date (April 2023) is historical but consistent with ongoing activity.

LOCATION ACCURACY

unknown

No specific locations claimed or depicted in the image; content is digital screenshots and a generic meme without geographical clues.

FACT-CHECK

Screenshots appear authentic and support the post's claims of earnings ($481.19 close to 'almost $500') and profile badge; metrics like 30.1k impressions match the text's '200k per week' if scaled appropriately, but self-reported without external verification; the meme adds rhetorical flair but doesn't convey factual data.

How Is This Framed?

Biases, omissions, and misleading presentation techniques detected

mediumomission: one sided presentation

Presents only benefits and perks of engaging with Polymarket, creating an unbalanced view that ignores potential downsides.

Problematic phrases:

"my results: – +650 followers – almost $500 earned... – everyone loves you""Any reasons NOT to write about Polymarket?"

What's actually there:

Regulatory bans in Switzerland, France, Poland, Singapore; criticisms of wash trading and election manipulation

What's implied:

Fully positive, risk-free opportunity with universal appeal

Impact: Leads readers to perceive Polymarket promotion as straightforwardly rewarding, fostering undue enthusiasm without awareness of volatility or legal issues.

highomission: missing context

Omits critical broader context on Polymarket's controversies, such as regulatory challenges and market integrity issues, which would temper the promotional narrative.

Problematic phrases:

"ambassador of one of the biggest web2-web3 projects – one of the strongest communities – free X Premium+"

What's actually there:

Banned or restricted in multiple countries; accused of manipulative trading practices during high-profile events

What's implied:

Seamless, elite community access without hurdles

Impact: Distorts perception of opportunity scope, making readers overlook systemic risks and view personal anecdotes as representative of the entire ecosystem.

Sources & References

External sources consulted for this analysis

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket

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https://polymarket.com/

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https://polymarket.com/crypto

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https://polymarket.com/search/crypto

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https://www.gemini.com/cryptopedia/polymarket-prediction-markets-crypto-decentralized-betting

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https://www.webopedia.com/crypto/learn/how-does-polymarket-work/

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https://ventureburn.com/what-is-polymarket/

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https://cryptonews.com/cryptocurrency/is-polymarket-legit

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https://www.kucoin.com/learn/crypto/what-is-polymarket-and-how-does-it-work

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https://blockchainmagazine.net/polymarket-plans-a-u-s-return-in-nov2025/

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-review-legal-works-trade-032501723.html

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https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/polymarket-prediction-markets-trumps-truth-social-expands-to-prediction-trading-amid-growing-crypto-partnerships/amp_articleshow/124882585.cms

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https://www.tradingview.com/news/cointelegraph:b4f1c876e094b:0-romania-blacklists-polymarket-for-illegal-crypto-betting-amid-600m-election-wagers/

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https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto-com

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https://x.com/lunatik_corp/status/1985341326498373698

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https://x.com/lunatik_corp/status/1985376408391033232

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https://x.com/lunatik_corp/status/1984374935780008226

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https://x.com/lunatik_corp/status/1984245625806823462