Post by @burrytracker
86% credible (92% factual, 75% presentation). The tweet accurately reports Michael Burry's put options against NVDA and PLTR as per the Q3 2025 13F filing, verified by SEC records and financial news. However, the presentation quality is reduced due to omission framing, focusing solely on bearish positions while neglecting the portfolio's long positions in other sectors.
Analysis Summary
The tweet reports that Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management has initiated large put option positions against Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR), signaling a bearish stance on AI stocks, as detailed in the Q3 2025 13F filing. The claim is verified as accurate based on public SEC filings and recent news reports. This move aligns with Burry's contrarian investment history, shifting focus toward defensive sectors like healthcare and energy.
Original Content
The Facts
The post accurately reflects the details from Scion Asset Management's Q3 2025 13F filing, which discloses put options on 1 million NVDA shares (valued at approximately $186.58 million) and 5 million PLTR shares (valued at $912 million), comprising a significant portion of the portfolio. Supporting evidence from SEC records and financial news outlets like Quiver Quant and Benzinga confirms these positions without discrepancies. Verdict: True
Benefit of the Doubt
The author advances a sensational, bearish narrative on AI stocks by highlighting Burry's 'Big Short' fame and framing the puts as a bold contrarian bet against market hype, aiming to engage followers interested in market predictions. Key omissions include the notional value of options (not actual shares shorted), the full portfolio context showing long positions in PFE, HAL, and MOH for balance, and the speculative risks of options trading, which could mislead readers into overemphasizing downside without noting potential upside or filing nuances. This selective emphasis shapes perception toward impending AI sector decline, amplifying Burry's reputation while downplaying diversified aspects of the strategy.
Visual Content Analysis
Images included in the original content
VISUAL DESCRIPTION
The image is a screenshot of a financial table from a 13F filing report, displaying Scion Asset Management's Q3 2025 portfolio holdings. It lists stocks like PLTR (PUT options for 5M shares, $912.1M value, 66.04% of portfolio), NVDA (PUT options for 1M shares, $186.58M, 13.51%), PFE (6M shares, $152.88M, 11.07%), HAL (CALL options for 2.5M shares, $61.5M, 4.45%), MOH (125K shares, $23.92M, 1.73%), LULU (100K shares, $17.79M, 1.29%), and BRK.B (two entries totaling ~$15.03M). Columns include stock ticker, history, sector, shares held, market value, portfolio percentage, rank, changes, and price estimates.
TEXT IN IMAGE
Stock History Sector Held or Principal Market Value % of Previous Rank Change in Shares % Change % Ownership Qtr 1st Est Avg Qtr End Price PLTR History Information PUT Amt 5,000,000 912,100,000 66.04% 1 ↑5,000,000 New Q3 2025 NVDA History Information PUT Amt 1,000,000 186,580,000 13.51% 2 ↑1,000,000 New Q1 PFE History Health Care Amt 6,000,000 152,880,000 11.07% 3 ↑6,000,000 New Q3 2025 HAL History Energy CALL Amt 2,500,000 61,500,000 4.45% 4 ↑2,500,000 New Q3 2025 MOH History Health Care 125,000 23,920,000 1.73% 5 ↑125,000 New 0.23% Q3 210,363.9 191.96 LULU History Consumer Discretionary Amt 100,000 17,793,000 1.29% 2.05% 6 ↑100,000 100.00% 0.08% Q2 2025 251.443 177.93 BRK.B History Finance 480,054 13,717,810 0.99% 7 ↑480,054 New 0.23% Q3 31.411 27.8 BRK.B History Finance 48,334 1,317,181 0.95% 8 ↑48,334 New Q3 2025 27.18 27.18
MANIPULATION
No signs of editing, inconsistencies, or artifacts; the table appears to be a genuine screenshot from a standard financial reporting tool like WhaleWisdom or SEC EDGAR, with consistent formatting and no visual anomalies.
TEMPORAL ACCURACY
The table references Q3 2025 filings (ending September 30, 2025), and the current date is November 4, 2025, aligning with recent 13F disclosures filed shortly after quarter-end; price estimates for Q3 2025 confirm recency.
LOCATION ACCURACY
The image is a digital financial document with no geographical elements or locations depicted, so spatial framing is not applicable to the claim.
FACT-CHECK
The table accurately represents Scion Asset Management's disclosed Q3 2025 holdings per SEC 13F filings, verified against public records and news sources like Quiver Quant, which report the same put positions on PLTR and NVDA; no contradictions found in reverse image search or filing data.
How Is This Framed?
Biases, omissions, and misleading presentation techniques detected
Labeling a routine quarterly 13F filing as 'BREAKING' creates a false sense of immediate market-moving news, when filings are delayed public disclosures.
Problematic phrases:
"🚨 BREAKING"What's actually there:
Quarterly SEC filing released weeks after quarter end
What's implied:
Fresh, real-time market event
Impact: Heightens perceived immediacy, prompting hasty reactions like selling AI stocks without due diligence on filing details.
Focuses solely on put options while omitting the portfolio's long positions in defensive stocks and the notional (not actual) nature of options, altering interpretation of overall strategy.
Problematic phrases:
"goes short on $PLTR and $NVDA""bought put options on 1M Nvidia shares and 5M Palantir shares"What's actually there:
Balanced portfolio with longs in healthcare/energy; options are notional exposures
What's implied:
Primarily bearish, fully short on AI
Impact: Leads readers to overestimate bearish commitment and AI sector downside risk, ignoring diversification and options' speculative risks.
Highlights only the contrarian short positions to amplify a bearish AI narrative, cherry-picking from a multifaceted filing without noting broader market context or Burry's history of varied bets.
Problematic phrases:
"The Big Short is feeling bearish on AI"What's actually there:
Part of diversified strategy; past Burry trades include both longs/shorts
What's implied:
Singular bold bet against AI hype
Impact: Shapes perception toward AI decline as inevitable, encouraging biased investment decisions based on incomplete view.
Presents put options in terms of share counts without referencing notional values or portfolio proportion, exaggerating the scale of the bearish position.
Problematic phrases:
"put options on 1M Nvidia shares and 5M Palantir shares"What's actually there:
Notional exposure ~$186.58M NVDA, $912M PLTR; significant but not dominant in portfolio
What's implied:
Massive direct short on millions of shares
Impact: Inflates perceived magnitude, making the bet seem more aggressive and influential on AI stocks than it is.
Sources & References
External sources consulted for this analysis
https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Michael+Burry%E2%80%99s+Scion+Asset+Management+Bets+Against+Nvidia+and+Palantir
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1onqo52/recent_13f_filing_of_scion_shows_michael_burry_of/
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1knpbgd/michael_burrys_scion_asset_management_turns/
https://www.michael-burry.com/michael-burrys-portfolio/
https://stockcircle.com/portfolio/michael-burry
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-dumping-entire-portfolio-buying-220500241.html
https://whalewisdom.com/filer/scion-asset-management-llc
https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Michael+Burry%E2%80%99s+Scion+Asset+Management+Bets+Against+Nvidia+and+Palantir
https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/11/48609597/michael-burry-is-super-bearish-on-palantir-with-5-million-puts
https://biztoc.com/x/fb6c80c8ceefccbd
https://www.streetinsider.com/13Fs/Michael+Burrys+Scion+Asset+Management+Updates+13F/25546023.html
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/3179589/michael-burrys-strategic-moves-the-estee-lauder-companies-inc-exits-with-21-impact
https://quiverquant.com/news/Fund+Update:+New+$23.9M+$MOH+stock+position+opened+by+Scion+Asset+Management,+LLC
https://www.tradingview.com/news/gurufocus:6478f3724094b:0-big-short-legend-sounds-alarm-as-nvidia-tops-5-trillion-is-the-ai-boom-next-to-pop/
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1923125093003079893
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1694692280605761895
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1935831917380735226
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1804529526166159610
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1725262597425954891
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1691121657526759424
https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Michael+Burry%E2%80%99s+Scion+Asset+Management+Bets+Against+Nvidia+and+Palantir
https://whalewisdom.com/filer/scion-asset-management-llc
https://www.michael-burry.com/michael-burrys-portfolio/
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1knpbgd/michael_burrys_scion_asset_management_turns/
https://stockcircle.com/portfolio/michael-burry
https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/11/48609597/michael-burry-is-super-bearish-on-palantir-with-5-million-puts
https://www.levelfields.ai/news/michael-burrys-scion-asset-management-adds-tech-puts-exits-all-equity-holdings-in-q1-2025
https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Michael+Burry%E2%80%99s+Scion+Asset+Management+Bets+Against+Nvidia+and+Palantir
https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/11/48609597/michael-burry-is-super-bearish-on-palantir-with-5-million-puts
https://biztoc.com/x/fb6c80c8ceefccbd
https://gurufocus.com/news/3179589/michael-burrys-strategic-moves-the-estee-lauder-companies-inc-exits-with-21-impact
https://quiverquant.com/news/Fund+Update:+New+$23.9M+$MOH+stock+position+opened+by+Scion+Asset+Management,+LLC
https://longbridge.com/en/news/263736383
https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Michael+Burry%E2%80%99s+Scion+Asset+Management+Overhauls+Portfolio+With+New+Stock+Holdings+and+Major+Options+Bets
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1923125093003079893
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1694692280605761895
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1918708270354559224
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1935831917380735226
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1922798448157348139
https://x.com/burrytracker/status/1804529526166159610
Want to see @burrytracker's track record?
View their credibility score and all analyzed statements