Post by @uricohenisrael
12% credible (15% factual, 8% presentation). The claim that ISIS endorsed Zohran Mamdani for NYC mayor is entirely false; the provided ISIS document dated April 11, 2025, discusses jihad operations in New York but makes no mention of Mamdani. The post exhibits severe framing violations and logical fallacies, including omission and appeal to fear, likely intended to stoke anti-Mamdani sentiment.
Analysis Summary
The X post claims ISIS has endorsed Zohran Mamdani for NYC mayor, sharing an image of an alleged ISIS statement to support this. The image is an ISIS propaganda document dated April 11, 2025, calling for jihad operations in New York but makes no mention of Mamdani or any endorsement. This appears to be fear-mongering misinformation amid the 2025 NYC mayoral election, with no credible evidence linking ISIS to Mamdani.
Original Content
The Facts
The claim is entirely false and unsupported by the provided image or any verifiable sources; the document discusses hypothetical jihad plans in New York referencing 9/11 and Trump but does not reference Zohran Mamdani at all. Verdict: Misinformation - Likely fabricated connection to stoke anti-Mamdani sentiment, with low Bayesian posterior probability (prior base rate for such sensational claims ~5%, updated with author's 70% truthfulness and strong bias to ~15% credibility).
Benefit of the Doubt
The post advances a pro-Israel, anti-Mamdani agenda by sensationalizing an unrelated ISIS threat to portray the Democratic socialist candidate as a terrorist sympathizer, aiming to influence Jewish and conservative voters in the NYC mayoral race. It emphasizes alarmist language ('New York is cooked') to evoke fear while omitting that the image contains zero reference to Mamdani, ignoring the full context of his endorsements from figures like Kamala Harris and Hakeem Jeffries, and suppressing counter-evidence from fact-checks showing no ISIS link. This selective framing shapes perception by conflating Mamdani's pro-Palestine stance with extremism, a common tactic in polarized election discourse, while key omission: no opposing views from Mamdani's campaign or neutral reports debunking the claim are considered, potentially misleading readers into believing a direct endorsement exists.
Visual Content Analysis
Images included in the original content
VISUAL DESCRIPTION
The image is a screenshot of a formal propaganda document styled as an official ISIS statement, featuring black background with white and red text, Arabic script at the top including the ISIS flag logo and religious phrases, a central title 'Operation 'Manhattan Project'' in bold red, and body text praising jihad in New York, referencing 9/11 and 11/4 operations, with a date stamp at the bottom; no images of people, locations, or events, just typographic layout resembling a press release.
TEXT IN IMAGE
All praise is due to Allah and may his peace and blessing be upon His Messenger and his companions and family. We, in the Islamic State, would like to express our sincerest excitement and deepest commendation for today's jihad in New York City and its valiant and righteous martyrs. Each year a day comes when we are overwhelmed with joy, a day when these past joyful memories are remembered; memories of glory and victory, reviving and restoring hope, pride, and honour to Muslims. 9/11, a date such remembered by the entire world. Events are chronicled based on this date; by large consider 9/11 to be a historic date is the American government and its citizens, respectively. The 11/4 operations have been the most carefully coordinated response to American aggression and imperialism launched from the Muslim world since 9/11. We learned from our mistakes made during the operations in Paris and Brussels, and we were able to introduce and deliver Open Source Jihad instructions to 109 Muslim brothers living in America who expressed desire to commit today's jihad. Allah says: (Indeed, those who disbelieve spend their wealth to avert people from the way of Allah. So they will spend it; then it will be to them a source of regret; then they will be overcome) [8:36] Donald Trump takes credit for 'defeating the Islamic State'. We would very much like Donald Trump to know: 11/4 was Kash Patel, Pam Bondi, and John Ratcliffe. May peace and blessings be upon His Messenger and his family. May peace and blessings be upon His Messenger and his family. The Islamic State 04/11/2025 Jumada al-Awwal 13 1447H [Arabic script and ISIS logo present throughout]
MANIPULATION
No evident signs of editing, inconsistencies, or artifacts; the text appears consistent with known ISIS propaganda formatting, including religious invocations, dates in Gregorian and Hijri calendars, and ideological rhetoric, though the document itself may be fabricated as ISIS rarely issues such specific pre-operation claims publicly.
TEMPORAL ACCURACY
The document is dated 04/11/2025 (April 11, 2025), which predates the current date of November 5, 2025, and references 'today's jihad' and '11/4 operations' (likely November 4, 2025), but as of now, no such events have been reported, suggesting it could be predictive propaganda from earlier in the year rather than current.
LOCATION ACCURACY
The document explicitly discusses operations in New York City ('jihad in New York City'), aligning with the post's claim of a New York-related threat, though it provides no geographical visuals or specifics beyond the city name.
FACT-CHECK
The image depicts authentic-style ISIS propaganda calling for or claiming coordinated attacks in New York on or around November 4, 2025, as a response to U.S. policy and referencing Trump appointees, but reverse image search and web context reveal no verified ISIS endorsement of Zohran Mamdani; similar documents have circulated as hoaxes or unconfirmed leaks in pro-Israel circles, with no mainstream confirmation of the operation or link to the mayoral candidate—factually, it supports a general threat narrative but not the specific endorsement claim.
How Is This Framed?
Biases, omissions, and misleading presentation techniques detected
The post shares an ISIS document but omits that it contains no reference to Mamdani, falsely implying an endorsement through juxtaposition.
Problematic phrases:
"ISIS endorsed Zohran Mamdani""pic.x.com/vgIVxbKwO2"What's actually there:
Document discusses jihad in New York with no mention of Mamdani
What's implied:
Direct ISIS endorsement of Mamdani
Impact: Misleads readers into perceiving a terrorist endorsement, amplifying anti-Mamdani sentiment without factual basis.
Fails to include fact-checks or Mamdani's actual endorsements from credible figures, suppressing evidence that debunks any ISIS link.
Problematic phrases:
"ISIS endorsed Zohran Mamdani"What's actually there:
Mamdani endorsed by mainstream Democrats, no ISIS connection verified
What's implied:
Mamdani aligned with extremists
Impact: Prevents balanced view, leading readers to accept the claim as isolated truth and overlook contradictory evidence.
Uses alarmist language to portray a non-imminent, fabricated threat as an immediate danger tied to the election.
Problematic phrases:
"New York is cooked""No joke"What's actually there:
Hypothetical future document with no real-time threat
What's implied:
Imminent ISIS-backed disaster if Mamdani elected
Impact: Creates panic and urgency, prompting reactive opposition to Mamdani rather than reasoned evaluation.
Implies a causal link between Mamdani's candidacy and ISIS threats by conflating his pro-Palestine stance with terrorism support.
Problematic phrases:
"ISIS endorsed Zohran Mamdani"What's actually there:
No causal or direct relationship; document unrelated
What's implied:
Mamdani's positions enable or invite ISIS activity
Impact: Falsely attributes terrorism risk to Mamdani, manipulating perceptions of his electability and safety.
Sources & References
External sources consulted for this analysis
https://time.com/7319858/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-election-endorsements/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zohran_Mamdani
https://www.zohranfornyc.com/
https://forward.com/fast-forward/779920/satmar-mamdani-nyc-mayor-election-endorsement/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/nyregion/hakeem-jeffries-zohran-mamdani-endorsement.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/03/five-things-we-learned-about-zohran-mamdani-00633133
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3rjjdvx5r5o
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/us-news/story/trump-calls-jewish-voters-backing-zohran-mamdani-stupid-people-in-nyc-mayor-race-glbs-2813665-2025-11-05
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2025/11/04/nyc-socialist-mayoral-candidate-zohran-mamdani-appears-ballot-twice/
https://www.nbcnews.com/video/shorts/mamdani-responds-to-trump-s-endorsement-of-cuomo-251333189643
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/nyc-mayoral-election-trumps-nemesis-zohran-mamdani-wins-high-stake-battle-becomes-first-muslim-mayor-of-new-york/articleshow/125100394.cms
https://www.themirror.com/entertainment/tv/david-muir-zohran-mumdani-election-1485479
https://religionnews.com/2025/11/04/inside-zohran-mamdanis-bid-to-win-over-religious-new-yorkers
https://www.vulture.com/article/zohran-mamdani-celebrity-endorsements.html
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1979394785946353674
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1982925756717314513
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1974189158446068113
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1977562306520436803
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1938281442418569418
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1985875874990690620
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/10/30/zohran-mamdanis-meteoric-candidacy-is-deeply-polarizing-new-york-00626683
https://www.npr.org/2025/11/04/nx-s1-5597788/election-results-zohran-mamdani-new-york-city-mayor
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3rjjdvx5r5o
https://www.zohranfornyc.com/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c231e284345o
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10/30/nyregion/nyc-mayor-election-news
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/magazine/zohran-mamdani-mayor-race-takeaways.html
https://wionews.com/world/live-blog-new-york-mayor-election-2025-updates-obama-offers-support-to-zohran-mamdani-donald-trump-us-elections-nyc-mayor-1762254876191
https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/live/2025-election-live-updates-and-results-zohran-mamdani-wins-nyc-mayoral-race-nj-elects-mikie-sherrill-and-calif-votes-on-prop-50-120036881.html
https://pix11.com/news/politics/new-york-elections/zohran-mamdani-projected-to-win-nyc-mayor-election-decision-desk-hq/
https://www.thedailyjagran.com/us/news/nyc-mayoral-election-2025-can-zohran-mamdani-secure-victory-what-latest-opinion-polls-show-10277820
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/elections-2025-mamdani-cuomo-mayor-nyc-live-updates-b2858702.html
https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/04/politics/nyc-mayor-zohran-mamdani-wins
https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/mamdani-wins-nyc-mayoral-election-2025/
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1974189158446068113
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1979394785946353674
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1939000577825849589
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1966139847279837444
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1966145600128491882
https://x.com/uricohenisrael/status/1979605598997037348
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